New report — Q2 2026 Bitcoin Cycle Outlook just published
btcbtc$76,5122.08%
etheth$2,1033.71%
usdtusdt$0.99920.02%
bnbbnb$639.241.97%
xrpxrp$1.382.49%
usdcusdc$0.99970.01%
solsol$84.122.43%
trxtrx$0.35540.27%
dogedoge$0.10375.78%
btcbtc$76,5122.08%
etheth$2,1033.71%
usdtusdt$0.99920.02%
bnbbnb$639.241.97%
xrpxrp$1.382.49%
usdcusdc$0.99970.01%
solsol$84.122.43%
trxtrx$0.35540.27%
dogedoge$0.10375.78%
Vol. 04 · Institutional-grade intelligence — made teachable

Cut through the noise.
Learn the system behind smart crypto investing.

Stop guessing. Start compounding.

The institutional research system hedge funds pay $5,000/year for — taught in plain English, in 30 minutes a week.

Institutional-Grade Intelligence
Deep research, not hype.
AI-Powered Workflows
Smarter analysis, faster insights.
Open Access Reports
Transparent. Public. Built for everyone.
Data-Driven Decisions
Cut emotions. Follow the system.
Research reports
0published
Updated weekly · open access
Coins covered
12deep dives
Tier-1 assets · full thesis docs
Pillars
4disciplines
Coin
Market
Risk
AI
Cycle phase
MidQ2 2026
62%
Bitcoin · 62% through cycle
The system

The Intelligence Crypto System.

Four pillars. One system. Built to compound.

INTELLIGENCECRYPTOCoin ResearchNarrative. Liquidity. Team.Market DirectionPolicy. Flows. Clarity.Risk ManagementSizing. Stops. Ratios.AI WorkflowsPrompts. Agents.Automations.

Each pillar feeds the next. The system compounds.

02Research library

Research Library

Deep evergreen frameworks. Updated continuously.

03Bitcoin bottom

Bitcoin bottoms ~523 days before every halving.

A historically-tested rule. Bitcoin halves every four years. Before each halving, the market hits a bottom — and the timing has been remarkably consistent across three cycles.

BTC · LIVE
$76,969
▼ -0.00% · 24h
The pattern
Cycle 2
542days
Jan 14, 2015 → Jul 9, 2016
Cycle 3
513days
Dec 15, 2018 → May 11, 2020
Cycle 4
515days
Nov 21, 2022 → Apr 19, 2024
Average
523days
bottom → halving
Halving Date523 days = Projected Bottom
Your projected cycle bottom
Friday, November 13, 2026
Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Source: CoinGecko · Updated daily · Historical bottom-to-halving intervals from cycles 2, 3, and 4.
Open the full Cycle Tracker
04Portfolio framework

How we split a crypto portfolio — by conviction.

A guide, not a prescription. Tilt the weights to your risk tolerance, but keep the structure: high conviction at the core, satellites for asymmetric upside, dry powder for the dip you can't time.

20%

Bitcoin

Core
BTC

The reserve asset. Highest conviction, lowest tail risk among crypto. The anchor everything else is sized against.

25%

Large-cap utility & smart contracts

ETHSOLXRPXLMLINK

Layer-1s and settlement networks with real users. Diversifies the core without leaving the top of the market-cap table.

10%

DeFi

UNIAAVE

Protocols that move real volume — DEXs, lending, oracles. Cyclical, but where most of the upside lives in a bull.

8%

Metaverse & compute

RNDR

Render networks, on-chain compute, gaming infrastructure. Higher beta — sized accordingly.

2%

Memes

Lottery
DOGESHIB

Treat as expense, not investment. Two percent buys you a seat at the table without putting the portfolio at risk.

35%

Dry powder

Stable
USDCUSDT

Stablecoins, parked and patient. The reason you can buy aggressively when everyone else is scared.

05Position sizing template

How we actually enter a position — in three buys.

Forget perfect entries. We split every position into a Starter, a Builder, and a Loader — so the biggest bag lands at the best price, automatically.

Buy #1
STARTER
~15%
of total budget
Trigger
Initial entry

Get on the boat. A small toehold so you're already in if the asset never gives you a deeper price.

Buy #2
BUILDER
~28%
of total budget · range 25–30%
Trigger
−20% from entry

Average down with intent. The first real conviction add — only fires if your thesis still holds.

Buy #3
LOADER
~57%
of total budget · range 55–60%
Trigger
−40% from entry

The biggest bag at the best price. This is where you win the cycle — if the discipline held to get here.

ENTRY
Starter · 15%
$1.00
−20%
Builder · 28%
$0.80
−40%
Loader · 57%
$0.60

The biggest bag should always be at the best price. Adjust percentages and levels to match your conviction and the specific asset.

View the full position sizing template
06Follow along

The work is public. Watch us build it.

Daily breakdowns, market updates, and AI workflow demos across every major platform. Pick the one you actually use.

Get the next report in your inbox.

No hype. Just the research, the reasoning, and the updates.

© 2026 Alain AI Lab · All rights reserved